世界科技研究与发展 ›› 2021, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (5): 605-615.doi: 10.16507/j.issn.1006-6055.2021.06.001

所属专题: 新能源

• 科技政策与管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

拜登气候与能源政策主张对我国影响分析及对策建议

汤匀1,2 陈伟1,2,3   

  1. 1.中国科学院武汉文献情报中心,武汉430071;2.科技大数据湖北省重点实验室,武汉430071;3.中国科学院大学经济与管理学院,北京100190
  • 出版日期:2021-10-25 发布日期:2021-10-27
  • 基金资助:
    中国科学院变革性洁净能源关键技术与示范战略性先导科技专项战略研究课题“国际能源科技进展、政策跟踪及分析”(XDA21010103),中国科学院文献情报能力建设专项“科技领域战略情报研究咨询体系建设”(E0290001),中国科学院青年创新促进会项目(2017221),中国科学院武汉文献情报中心前瞻性课题“基于PMC指数改良模型的政策量化评价研究”(E0ZG281)

The Impact of Biden’s Climate and Energy Policy Proposition on China and its Suggestions and Countermeasures

TANG Yun1,2   CHEN Wei1,2,3   

  1. 1. Wuhan Literature and Information Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan 430071, China; 2. Hubei Key Laboratory of Big Data in Science and Technology, Wuhan 430071, China; 3. School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
  • Online:2021-10-25 Published:2021-10-27

摘要: 拜登作为新一任美国总统十分重视气候变化,制定了“清洁能源革命计划”来应对气候危机,宣布重返《巴黎气候协定》,提出2050年碳中和目标。本文对拜登“清洁能源革命计划”及气候政策主张等要点进行解读,结合对美国能源政策发展历程的回溯分析,深入探究拜登政府的气候能源主张。研究发现,拜登在能源政策方面延续了民主党一贯的立场和主张,支持清洁能源革命,其基本立场与奥巴马时期无异,但有两方面的重要变化:一是美国已实现能源独立,将给拜登政府以及之后数届政府的内政外交政策选择带来更大的回旋空间,战略手段上更少受到能源因素的制约;二是拜登政府将更注重清洁能源技术创新的核心作用,借助美国掌握的源头创新优势和科技领导地位,主导制定一套新的游戏规则改革新形势下的国际能源治理体系,牢牢把控国际话语权以获得最大利益,在利用科技优势打压主要竞争对手上力度会进一步加强。随后分析了其对世界能源格局和对我国未来发展的影响,主要包括:1)气候变化认知和行为差异将造成未来中美摩擦;2)对中国的警惕将加剧美国与中国在气候相关创新技术领域的竞争;3)形成“民主国家”联盟对中国持续施压。对此,提出了我国应对建议:因应“双循环”新发展格局,加速推进清洁能源关键技术自立自强;加快建立国家级多能融合自主创新示范区,为我国实现碳达峰、碳中和目标贡献解决方案;深度融合数字技术与能源技术,构建我国智慧能源体系;深度参与全球合作,积极参与国际能源治理体系改革,为我国能源转型营造良好的外部环境;重启新篇开启中美合作新模式,共担责任引领推动全球能源绿色低碳转型和应对气候变化。

关键词: 拜登气候与能源政策主张, 清洁能源革命计划, 能源格局, 碳中和, 对策建议

Abstract: Joe Biden, as the new president of the United States, attaches great importance to climate change and sets out an ambitious "clean energy revolution plan" to deal with the climate crisis, announcing to return to the Paris climate agreement to ensure that the United States will achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. This paper interprets the key points of Biden's "clean energy revolution plan" and its climate policy propositions, and makes a retrospective analysis of the development history of American energy policy to probe deeply into the Biden administration's climate and energy propositions. In terms of energy policy, the study found that Biden continues the consistent position and proposition of the Democratic Party to support clean energy revolution, holding the same basic position with the Obama era, but there are important changes in two aspects: First, the United States has achieve energy independence, which will bring more wiggle room for the Biden government and subsequent governments to make domestic and foreign policy choices, and its strategic means will be less restricted by energy factors; Second, the Biden government will pay more attention to the core role of clean energy technology innovation, with the help of the source innovation advantage and scientific and technology leadership of the United States, lead the formulation of a new set of rules of the game, reform the international energy governance system under the new situation, firmly control the international discourse power to obtain the maximum benefits, and further strengthen the use of scientific and technological advantages to suppress major competitors. Then, this paper analyzes its influence on the world energy pattern and the future development of China, which mainly includes: 1) the differences in the cognition and behavior of climate change will cause future Sino-US frictions; 2) wariness of China will intensify competition between the United States and China in climate-related innovative technologies; 3) the U.S. may form a coalition of "democratic countries" to continuously exert pressure on China. In view of this, some policy suggestions for China are put forward: According to the new development pattern of "Dual Circulation", China should accelerate the independent innovation and application of key technologies of clean energy; accelerate the establishment of national independent innovation demonstration zone for multi-energy integration, and contribute solutions to China's goal of achieving carbon peak and carbon neutral; deeply integrate digital technology and energy technology to build China's smart energy system; deeply participate in global cooperation, and actively participate in international energy cooperation The reform of energy source management system will create a good external environment for China's energy transformation; opening a new model of cooperation between China and the United States and share responsibilities to lead the global transition to green and low-carbon energy and combat climate change.

Key words: Biden's climate and energy policy, Clean Energy Revolution, Energy Framework, Carbon Neutral, Countermeasures and Suggestions