世界科技研究与发展 ›› 2024, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (3): 277-286.doi: 10.16507/j.issn.1006-6055.2023.12.001

• 科技战略与规划 • 上一篇    下一篇

面向《巴黎协定》目标的首次全球盘点系列报告解析及启示

滕飞1,2 孙玉玲1,3 曲建升3,4   

  1. 1. 中国科学院文献情报中心,北京 100190;2. 中国石油大学(北京)经济管理学院,北京 102249;3. 中国科学院大学经济管理学院信息资源管理系,北京 100190;4. 中国科学院成都文献情报中心,成都 610299
  • 出版日期:2024-06-25 发布日期:2024-07-03
  • 基金资助:
    中国科学院战略研究与决策支持系统建设专项“双碳行动计划战略研究”(GHJ-ZLZX-2023-06),中国科学院文情能力建设专项“低碳科技战略情报决策信息产品建设”(E2290437),国家社会科学基金青年项目“科学数据安全边界研究”(22CTQ031)

Analysis and Implications from the First Global Stocktake Report Series towards the Paris Agreement Goals

TENG Fei1,2  SUN Yuling1,3  QU Jiansheng3,4   

  1. 1. National Science Library, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190 , China; 2 . School of Economics and Management, China University of Petroleum ( Beijing ) , Beijing 102249, China; 3. Department of Information Resources Management, School of Economics and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China; 4. National Science Library (Chengdu), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610299, China
  • Online:2024-06-25 Published:2024-07-03

摘要:

以联合国气候变化框架公约、国际能源署和国际可再生能源署近期发布的七个系列报告为数据基础,首先综合了分析全球气候行动的总体进展、能源系统转型与重点行业减排进展,并采用Doc_LDA主题模型进行文本挖掘,揭示实现《巴黎协定》目标的六大关键主题:可再生能源及能效、多元化创新、重点领域碳减排、政策、关键矿产以及国际合作。随后,进一步深入分析全球气候行动进程中存在的问题和差距,提出未来行动方向的建议。最后,围绕中国实现《巴黎协定》目标,提出四点启示性建议:1)加强气候政策的执行力度,因地制宜制定相关策略;2)加大对气候变化相关技术研发的投入,加速低碳技术的创新和商业化;3)构建完善的气候投融资机制和标准,加强风险管理办法的部署;4)积极参与国际政策对话与合作,共同推动全球气候治理体系的发展和完善。

关键词: 《巴黎协定》, 首次全球盘点, Doc_LDA主题模型, 文本挖掘, 内容分析

Abstract:

Based on seven series of reports recently released by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, the International Energy Agency, and the International Renewable Energy Agency, a comprehensive analysis is firstly conducted on the overall progress of global climate action, the transformation of energy systems, and emission reduction progress in critical industries. The Doc_LDA topic model is used for text mining to reveal six key themes essential to achieving the goals of the Paris Agreement: renewable energy and energy efficiency, diversified innovation, carbon emission reduction in critical areas, policy, critical minerals, and international cooperation. The analysis delves further into the problems and gaps in the global climate action process, suggesting directions for future action. Lastly, focusing on China’s fulfillment of the Paris Agreement targets, four enlightening recommendations are proposed: 1) Strengthen the enforcement of climate policies and formulate relevant strategies according to local conditions; 2) Increase investment in climate change-related technology research and development and accelerate the innovation and commercialization of low-carbon technologies; 3) Build a comprehensive climate finance mechanism and standards, and strengthen the deployment of risk management measures; 4) Actively participate in international policy dialogues and cooperation to jointly promote the development and improvement of the global climate governance system.

Key words: The Paris Agreement, Global Stocktake, Doc_LDA model, Text Mining, Content Analysis