世界科技研究与发展 ›› 2022, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (5): 631-642.doi: 10.16507/j.issn.1006-6055.2022.03.005

所属专题: 量子科技

• 科技态势与趋势 • 上一篇    下一篇

量子计算产业化国内外发展态势分析

汪晶晶 杨宏 雷根 张弛   

  1. 中国电子技术标准化研究院,北京100007
  • 出版日期:2022-10-25 发布日期:2022-10-28
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划“先进计算等数字技术创新应用及安全保障前沿技术国际标准研究”(2021YFF0601802)

Analysis of Domestic and International Development Trend of Quantum Computing Industrialization

WANG Jingjing   YANG Hong   LEI Gen   ZHANG Chi   

  1. China Electronics Standardization Institute, Beijing 100007, China
  • Online:2022-10-25 Published:2022-10-28

摘要:

随着量子计算技术理论研究的突破与发展,量子计算正在从实验室走向产业化。如何抓住量子计算产业化机遇,积极应对量子计算产业化进程中的挑战,成为当前我国亟待解决的重大科技问题。本文首先概述了国内外量子计算产业的发展现状,介绍了以量子芯片、基础软件、应用服务为主体的产业链雏形。其次分析了量子计算产业化的发展趋势与面临的挑战,认为产业发展势头良好且潜力巨大,但尚存在商业模式不明朗、行业不规范等问题。最后针对我国量子计算产业的发展短板,提出了相关的建议与对策:1)加强国家统筹,为产业发展提供制度保障;2)借鉴国外先进经验,完善相关合作机制;3)充分关注行业经济,创建完整生态系统;4)加强核心器件和关键技术攻关;5)正确宣传教育,警惕产业泡沫的出现。

关键词: 量子计算, 技术路线, 产业化, 趋势, 建议

Abstract:

With the breakthrough and development of quantum computing technology theory, quantum computing is moving from laboratory to industrialization. How to seize the opportunity of quantum computing industrialization and actively respond to the challenges in the process of quantum computing industrialization has become a major scientific and technological problem urgently to be solved in China. This paper first summarized the state-of-the-art quantum industry home and abroad, and introduced the prototype of the industrial chain which consists of quantum chip, basic software and application service. Secondly, the development trend and challenges of quantum computing industrialization were analyzed. The industry has a good momentum of development and is of great potential, but there are still problems such as unclear business pattern and industry irregularity. Finally, in view of the shortcomings of the development of China's quantum computing industry, relevant suggestions and countermeasures are put forward: 1) strengthen national overall planning to provide institutional guarantees for industrial development; 2) learn from advanced foreign experience and improve relevant cooperation mechanism; 3) fully focus on the industry economy and create a complete ecosystem; 4) strengthen research on core devices and key technologies; 5) correct publicity and education, and be vigilant the emergence of industrial bubbles.

Key words: Quantum Computing, Technical Route, Industrialization, Trend, Recommendation